World data · 194 countries · updated October 2026
Projected Generation Beta births by country, 2025–2039
How many Generation Beta children each country is projected to produce across the full 2025–2039 cohort window, ranked.
India leads the 194 countries ranked here on projected generation beta births at 330 million, followed by Nigeria at 130 million and China at 120 million. The median country is Libya at 1.8 million.
What this measures
Total births projected between 1 January 2025 and 31 December 2039 at each country's projected fertility path.
What it does not
It is a projection, not a count. Fertility can move faster than projections assume — it has repeatedly, and almost always downward.
The bottom of the table
Bars are scaled across the full observed range (2,690 to 330 million), not to 100%, so the real spread is visible.
How the values are spread
Where the 194 countries fall
The range from 2,690 to 330 million is split into 10 equal bands, and each bar counts the countries in one band.
Most countries sit in one band because a few very large values stretch the range. The ranking table below shows the differences within it.
| Band | Countries | Including |
|---|---|---|
| 0m to 33m | 184 | Tanzania, Egypt, Philippines and 181 more |
| 33m to 66m | 6 | DR Congo, Ethiopia, Indonesia and 3 more |
| 66m to 99m | 1 | Pakistan |
| 99m to 132m | 2 | Nigeria, China |
| 132m to 165m | 0 | — |
| 165m to 198m | 0 | — |
| 198m to 231m | 0 | — |
| 231m to 264m | 0 | — |
| 264m to 297m | 0 | — |
| 297m to 330m | 1 | India |
How this is built: each band is one tenth of the gap between the lowest and highest value; a country is counted in the band its value falls in, and the top band includes the highest value. Countries with no comparable figure are left out. Chart drawn with Apache ECharts.
The full ranking
All 194 countries
Click any column heading to re-sort. Type to filter, or pick a region. Every country name links to its full profile.
194 countries shown
| Rank | Country | Projected Generation Beta births | Bar | Region | Gen Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | India | 330 million | South Asia | 327m | |
| #2 | Nigeria | 130 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 95m | |
| #3 | China | 120 million | East Asia & Pacific | 230m | |
| #4 | Pakistan | 90 million | South Asia | 80m | |
| #5 | DR Congo | 65 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 44m | |
| #6 | Ethiopia | 55 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 48m | |
| #7 | Indonesia | 55 million | East Asia & Pacific | 68m | |
| #8 | United States | 55 million | North America | 62m | |
| #9 | Bangladesh | 40 million | South Asia | 44m | |
| #10 | Brazil | 35 million | Latin America | 44m | |
| #11 | Tanzania | 33 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 28m | |
| #12 | Egypt | 33 million | Middle East & North Africa | 34m | |
| #13 | Philippines | 30 million | East Asia & Pacific | 32m | |
| #14 | Uganda | 26 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 20m | |
| #15 | Sudan | 22 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 19m | |
| #16 | Mexico | 22 million | North America | 31m | |
| #17 | Yemen | 21.3 million | Middle East & North Africa | 18m | |
| #18 | Angola | 21 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 15m | |
| #19 | Kenya | 20 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 19m | |
| #20 | Mozambique | 20 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 14m | |
| #21 | Afghanistan | 20 million | Middle East & North Africa | 17m | |
| #22 | Iraq | 17 million | Middle East & North Africa | 16m | |
| #23 | Mali | 16.6 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 12m | |
| #24 | Madagascar | 16.3 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 13m | |
| #25 | Côte d'Ivoire | 16 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 12m | |
| #26 | Cameroon | 16 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 12m | |
| #27 | Russia | 16 million | Europe & Central Asia | 26m | |
| #28 | Ghana | 15 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 12m | |
| #29 | Turkey | 15 million | Middle East & North Africa | 19m | |
| #30 | Chad | 14.5 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 10m | |
| #31 | South Africa | 14 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 17m | |
| #32 | Iran | 14 million | Middle East & North Africa | 18m | |
| #33 | Vietnam | 14 million | East Asia & Pacific | 23m | |
| #34 | Somalia | 13.5 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 10m | |
| #35 | Uzbekistan | 13 million | Europe & Central Asia | 12m | |
| #36 | Algeria | 11.9 million | Middle East & North Africa | 14m | |
| #37 | Burkina Faso | 11.7 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 10m | |
| #38 | Zambia | 11.6 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 9m | |
| #39 | Malawi | 11 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 9m | |
| #40 | Senegal | 10 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 7m | |
| #41 | Myanmar | 10 million | East Asia & Pacific | 13m | |
| #42 | Germany | 10 million | Europe & Central Asia | 12m | |
| #43 | France | 10 million | Europe & Central Asia | 12m | |
| #44 | Syria | 9.7 million | Middle East & North Africa | 8m | |
| #45 | Japan | 9 million | East Asia & Pacific | 14m | |
| #46 | United Kingdom | 9 million | Europe & Central Asia | 12m | |
| #47 | Morocco | 8.9 million | Middle East & North Africa | 10m | |
| #48 | Zimbabwe | 8 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 7m | |
| #49 | Nepal | 8 million | South Asia | 8m | |
| #50 | Colombia | 8 million | Latin America | 11m | |
| #51 | Argentina | 8 million | Latin America | 11m | |
| #52 | Benin | 7.9 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 6m | |
| #53 | Guinea | 7.6 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 6m | |
| #54 | Saudi Arabia | 7 million | Middle East & North Africa | 9m | |
| #55 | Malaysia | 7 million | East Asia & Pacific | 8m | |
| #56 | Peru | 7 million | Latin America | 8m | |
| #57 | Rwanda | 6.4 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 6m | |
| #58 | Kazakhstan | 6 million | Europe & Central Asia | 6m | |
| #59 | South Sudan | 5.9 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 5m | |
| #60 | Thailand | 5 million | East Asia & Pacific | 11m | |
| #61 | Italy | 5 million | Europe & Central Asia | 7m | |
| #62 | Canada | 5 million | North America | 6m | |
| #63 | Venezuela | 5 million | Latin America | 7m | |
| #64 | Guatemala | 5 million | Latin America | 6m | |
| #65 | Togo | 4.8 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 4m | |
| #66 | North Korea | 4.4 million | East Asia & Pacific | 5m | |
| #67 | Central African Republic | 4.1 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 3m | |
| #68 | Tajikistan | 4.1 million | Europe & Central Asia | 4m | |
| #69 | Sierra Leone | 4 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 3m | |
| #70 | Australia | 4 million | Oceania | 5m | |
| #71 | Spain | 4 million | Europe & Central Asia | 6m | |
| #72 | Poland | 4 million | Europe & Central Asia | 6m | |
| #73 | Haiti | 3.8 million | Latin America | 4m | |
| #74 | Jordan | 3.6 million | Middle East & North Africa | 4m | |
| #75 | Honduras | 3.4 million | Latin America | 3m | |
| #76 | Republic of the Congo | 3.3 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 3m | |
| #77 | Sri Lanka | 3 million | South Asia | 4m | |
| #78 | South Korea | 3 million | East Asia & Pacific | 6m | |
| #79 | Ukraine | 3 million | Europe & Central Asia | 6m | |
| #80 | Chile | 3 million | Latin America | 4m | |
| #81 | Ecuador | 3 million | Latin America | 4m | |
| #82 | Bolivia | 3 million | Latin America | 3m | |
| #83 | Mauritania | 2.9 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 2m | |
| #84 | Dominican Republic | 2.8 million | Latin America | 3m | |
| #85 | Liberia | 2.7 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 2m | |
| #86 | Israel | 2.7 million | Middle East & North Africa | 3m | |
| #87 | Romania | 2.5 million | Europe & Central Asia | 3m | |
| #88 | Laos | 2.3 million | East Asia & Pacific | 2m | |
| #89 | Kyrgyzstan | 2.3 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #90 | Tunisia | 2.2 million | Middle East & North Africa | 3m | |
| #91 | Palestine | 2.2 million | Middle East & North Africa | 2m | |
| #92 | Turkmenistan | 2.2 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #93 | United Arab Emirates | 2.1 million | Middle East & North Africa | 2m | |
| #94 | Netherlands | 2 million | Europe & Central Asia | 3m | |
| #95 | Paraguay | 2 million | Latin America | 2m | |
| #96 | Azerbaijan | 1.9 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #97 | Nicaragua | 1.9 million | Latin America | 2m | |
| #98 | Libya | 1.8 million | Middle East & North Africa | 2m | |
| #99 | Eritrea | 1.7 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 1m | |
| #100 | Belgium | 1.5 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #101 | Lebanon | 1.4 million | Middle East & North Africa | 2m | |
| #102 | Sweden | 1.4 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #103 | El Salvador | 1.4 million | Latin America | 2m | |
| #104 | Gambia | 1.3 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 1m | |
| #105 | Oman | 1.3 million | Middle East & North Africa | 1m | |
| #106 | Czechia | 1.3 million | Europe & Central Asia | 2m | |
| #107 | Portugal | 1.3 million | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #108 | Cuba | 1.3 million | Latin America | 2m | |
| #109 | Namibia | 1.2 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 1m | |
| #110 | Hungary | 1.2 million | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #111 | Gabon | 1.1 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 959k | |
| #112 | Austria | 1.1 million | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #113 | Switzerland | 1.1 million | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #114 | Panama | 1.1 million | Latin America | 1m | |
| #115 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 million | Sub-Saharan Africa | 881k | |
| #116 | Greece | 1 million | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #117 | Mongolia | 937,930 | East Asia & Pacific | 1m | |
| #118 | Equatorial Guinea | 927,190 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 736k | |
| #119 | Belarus | 908,960 | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #120 | Denmark | 892,780 | Europe & Central Asia | 937k | |
| #121 | Lesotho | 828,430 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 815k | |
| #122 | Bulgaria | 828,200 | Europe & Central Asia | 960k | |
| #123 | Kuwait | 821,770 | Middle East & North Africa | 917k | |
| #124 | Serbia | 801,850 | Europe & Central Asia | 947k | |
| #125 | New Zealand | 800,000 | Oceania | 1m | |
| #126 | Ireland | 800,000 | Europe & Central Asia | 1m | |
| #127 | Costa Rica | 729,250 | Latin America | 947k | |
| #128 | Singapore | 721,520 | East Asia & Pacific | 690k | |
| #129 | Norway | 700,000 | Europe & Central Asia | 900k | |
| #130 | Slovakia | 668,340 | Europe & Central Asia | 849k | |
| #131 | Finland | 662,830 | Europe & Central Asia | 806k | |
| #132 | Georgia | 606,790 | Europe & Central Asia | 780k | |
| #133 | Qatar | 539,930 | Middle East & North Africa | 476k | |
| #134 | Uruguay | 485,240 | Latin America | 605k | |
| #135 | Timor-Leste | 467,150 | East Asia & Pacific | 476k | |
| #136 | Croatia | 443,110 | Europe & Central Asia | 524k | |
| #137 | Armenia | 440,300 | Europe & Central Asia | 557k | |
| #138 | Eswatini | 423,170 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 419k | |
| #139 | Moldova | 421,640 | Europe & Central Asia | 578k | |
| #140 | Jamaica | 420,280 | Latin America | 518k | |
| #141 | Comoros | 381,570 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 331k | |
| #142 | Djibouti | 371,560 | Middle East & North Africa | 345k | |
| #143 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 343,070 | Europe & Central Asia | 400k | |
| #144 | Albania | 335,600 | Europe & Central Asia | 457k | |
| #145 | Bahrain | 320,120 | Middle East & North Africa | 309k | |
| #146 | Lithuania | 292,100 | Europe & Central Asia | 406k | |
| #147 | Puerto Rico | 271,420 | Latin America | 362k | |
| #148 | Slovenia | 251,700 | Europe & Central Asia | 306k | |
| #149 | Guyana | 230,370 | Latin America | 243k | |
| #150 | North Macedonia | 224,380 | Europe & Central Asia | 298k | |
| #151 | Trinidad and Tobago | 213,540 | Latin America | 265k | |
| #152 | Latvia | 192,710 | Europe & Central Asia | 279k | |
| #153 | Cyprus | 186,940 | Europe & Central Asia | 222k | |
| #154 | Suriname | 158,480 | Latin America | 163k | |
| #155 | Mauritius | 157,170 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 184k | |
| #156 | Estonia | 147,910 | Europe & Central Asia | 203k | |
| #157 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 108,010 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 92k | |
| #158 | Belize | 105,580 | Latin America | 113k | |
| #159 | Luxembourg | 99,910 | Europe & Central Asia | 108k | |
| #160 | Cape Verde | 93,900 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 131k | |
| #161 | Montenegro | 93,200 | Europe & Central Asia | 112k | |
| #162 | Samoa | 86,450 | Oceania | 84k | |
| #163 | Brunei | 84,400 | East Asia & Pacific | 97k | |
| #164 | Maldives | 73,650 | South Asia | 101k | |
| #165 | Iceland | 62,480 | Europe & Central Asia | 70k | |
| #166 | Bahamas | 62,460 | Latin America | 71k | |
| #167 | Malta | 56,230 | Middle East & North Africa | 71k | |
| #168 | Kiribati | 51,280 | Oceania | 48k | |
| #169 | Barbados | 44,290 | Latin America | 48k | |
| #170 | Micronesia | 36,450 | Oceania | 36k | |
| #171 | Tonga | 34,550 | Oceania | 36k | |
| #172 | St Lucia | 26,900 | Latin America | 31k | |
| #173 | Seychelles | 25,510 | Sub-Saharan Africa | 27k | |
| #174 | Curaçao | 20,500 | Latin America | 27k | |
| #175 | Grenada | 18,130 | Latin America | 22k | |
| #176 | St Vincent and the Grenadines | 16,600 | Latin America | 21k | |
| #177 | Aruba | 15,590 | Latin America | 18k | |
| #178 | Antigua and Barbuda | 15,180 | Latin America | 17k | |
| #179 | Cayman Islands | 12,520 | Latin America | 12k | |
| #180 | Dominica | 9,780 | Latin America | 12k | |
| #181 | Marshall Islands | 9,450 | Oceania | 12k | |
| #182 | Andorra | 8,660 | Europe & Central Asia | 10k | |
| #183 | Gibraltar | 7,970 | Europe & Central Asia | 7k | |
| #184 | St Kitts and Nevis | 7,270 | Latin America | 9k | |
| #185 | Bermuda | 7,170 | North America | 9k | |
| #186 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 6,910 | Latin America | 8k | |
| #187 | Sint Maarten | 6,320 | Latin America | 7k | |
| #188 | Monaco | 5,630 | Europe & Central Asia | 5k | |
| #189 | Liechtenstein | 5,510 | Europe & Central Asia | 6k | |
| #190 | British Virgin Islands | 4,690 | Latin America | 6k | |
| #191 | Nauru | 4,550 | Oceania | 5k | |
| #192 | San Marino | 3,220 | Europe & Central Asia | 4k | |
| #193 | Palau | 2,730 | Oceania | 3k | |
| #194 | Tuvalu | 2,690 | Oceania | 3k |
Reading the table
This is the only column on the site that is entirely about the future, and it is where the twenty-first century's demographic story is clearest.
India stays first at about 330 million projected Beta births — but only just ahead of its own Alpha cohort of 327 million. Nigeria jumps from third to second, and its 130 million projected Beta births are 37% more than its 95 million Alphas. China falls from second to third and produces roughly half as many Betas as Alphas.
In 64 of these 194 countries the Beta cohort will be larger than the Alpha cohort. Almost every one of them is in Sub-Saharan Africa or South Asia. In the other 130 the next generation is smaller than the one before it — in some cases dramatically so. The centre of gravity of childhood is moving, and this table is the clearest single picture of where.
Run the numbers yourself
Tools that use this data
Frequently asked
Which country will have the most Generation Beta children?
India, with approximately 330 million births projected between 2025 and 2039, followed by Nigeria at about 130 million and China at about 120 million.
In which countries will Gen Beta be bigger than Gen Alpha?
In 64 of the 194 countries profiled — overwhelmingly in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Nigeria and Pakistan are the largest examples.
How big will Generation Beta be worldwide?
About 2.1 billion, according to McCrindle Research, which is the framework that defines the cohort.
How reliable is a projection to 2039?
Population projections are among the more reliable long-range forecasts, because most of the parents are already born. The main uncertainty is fertility behaviour, which has recently fallen faster than projections expected in many countries.
How many countries are in this table?
This table ranks 194 countries with a comparable figure, out of the 194 countries profiled on AlphaBetaMinds. The countries in this table hold about 98% of the world population.
Can I reuse this data?
Yes, free of charge and commercially, with a credit to AlphaBetaMinds and a link to this page. The full dataset is also available as plain text at https://alphabetaminds.com/llms-countries.txt.
AlphaBetaMinds (2026). Projected Generation Beta births by country, 2025–2039. Retrieved from https://alphabetaminds.com/data/gen-beta-births-by-country
Sources: UN World Population Prospects, World Bank Open Data, UNESCO Institute for Statistics, ITU. Figures are 2025–2026 estimates. Method on our methodology page.