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Glossary

Population momentum

Definition

Population momentum is the tendency of a population to keep growing for decades after fertility falls below replacement level.

Why it happens

If a country has a large cohort of people currently of childbearing age, it keeps producing a lot of babies even when each of them has fewer children than their parents did.

The growth is coming from the number of parents, not the number of children each has.

Why it matters here

It is the single most common misreading of fertility statistics. A country can be below [[Replacement level fertility]] and still growing, for thirty years or more.

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