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Education & Learning

School Closure Risk

Whether a school's intake is heading below the level at which it stays viable.

Quick answer

A school falling from 420 to 328 pupils still sits 118 above its viability threshold, which is the number that decides whether a falling roll is a concern or a crisis.

Free tool

School Closure Risk

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Frequently asked

Is the School Closure Risk free?

Yes. Every tool on AlphaBetaMinds is free, needs no account and has no usage limit.

Does this tool store what I type?

No. It runs entirely in your browser. Your inputs are never sent to our server, and nothing is logged.

How accurate is it?

It uses the McCrindle generation boundaries (Gen Alpha 2010–2024, Gen Beta 2025–2039) and UN World Population Prospects vital rates. Sources and formulas are on our methodology page.

Can I use the result in an article or report?

Yes, with a credit and a link back to this page. See our terms of use for the full licence.