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Glossary

Demographic transition

Definition

Demographic transition is the shift from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as a country develops.

The four stages

  1. High births, high deaths — population roughly stable.
  2. Deaths fall first — population grows fast.
  3. Births fall — growth slows.
  4. Both low — population stable or shrinking.

The caveat

It describes a tendency, not a law. Angola is 68% urban with fertility above 5, which the model does not predict. See [[Total fertility rate]].

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