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Population & Data

Urbanisation Projection

What share of Alpha and Beta childhoods will be urban, and how many children that puts in cities by 2040.

Quick answer

The urban share reaches about 64% by 2040, which puts roughly 1.34 billion children in cities — a 5.9 point rise on today and the first majority-urban childhood in history.

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Urbanisation Projection

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Frequently asked

Is the Urbanisation Projection free?

Yes. Every tool on AlphaBetaMinds is free, needs no account and has no usage limit.

Does this tool store what I type?

No. It runs entirely in your browser. Your inputs are never sent to our server, and nothing is logged.

How accurate is it?

It uses the McCrindle generation boundaries (Gen Alpha 2010–2024, Gen Beta 2025–2039) and UN World Population Prospects vital rates. Sources and formulas are on our methodology page.

Can I use the result in an article or report?

Yes, with a credit and a link back to this page. See our terms of use for the full licence.